Tag Archives: Obama

Updating my Electoral College Prediction

Just before the conventions I predicted Obama 304, McCain 234.

My final Electoral College prediction
Obama 353
McCain 185

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A Canadian in New York

I am not an ideologue, a Democrat, nor even an American. But I am in New York today. I came here from Toronto just to be here when history is made and America turns a corner on an eight year blight that that has done damage it will take 3 times that long to undo… if ever.

And brought my two and a half year old son.

I will be telling him about this day years hence and how he was there when:
A) reason triumphed over the basest of instinct
or
B) An election was truly stolen in broad daylight in multiple States by more than a little local malfeasance and the people rose up in their righteous fury and hunted down the CEO of Diebold Inc.

Seven years ago, at a point when everyone was shaken and the ground was still burning, I flew down to New York and Texas to spend some dollars and time with my American brothers at an hour of need and uncertainty. It was a time when the entire civilized world felt pain and empathy, and picked sides in a war against ignorance, saying “I am an American”.

Then George W Bush and his reckless cronies did everything possible to squander that goodwill, bankrupt America, debase it’s international standing and violate her most sacred rights.

Today we start to turn it around.

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Bill Kristol Knocks New York Times, Predicts McCain Win On “Daily Show” (VIDEO)

On HuffPost

joannericec wrote of Jon Stewart’s past admiration for John McCain

Really surprised to hear Stewart say he’d have voted for McCain over Gore.

Really? Why?

Stewart is not some kind of Democratic Loyalist “My Party Right or Wrong” kind of guy. That attitude is only marginally better than the full bore “Republican or Death” voter who must be the only ones left embracing McCain.

And it is only preferable currently. 25 years ago I would have taken the brain dead uncritical Republican over most hardened ideologue Democrats. 40 years ago you might have reasonably taken any Democrat over any Republican. Except Hubert Humphrey that twisted gasbag.

Politicians are rarely as good or as bad as we would believe. Except Humphrey, who was much much worse. Okay, I take that back. Not about Humphrey, who was indeed a worthless offal filled sack, Frankenstein Monster of interest group politics. Just that the he is not the only exception. No discussion of politicians more evil than you could imagine in your worst nightmare is complete without mentioning Tom DeLay. Sorry I just threw up in my mouth a little. It happens.

Anyhow those of you who legitimately wonder why there are people who still plan to vote for McCain when voting for Obama is the clearest and easiest slam dunk (forgive me) choice in presidential politics in about 65 years really need to ask yourselves about your own hard biases.

Whoever the real McCain is – the guy we thought we knew or the Rovian pod-person McCain we have seen in recent months – the possibility exists of a quality Republican vs a mediocre Democrat. I think McCain would have beaten Gore (legitimately) in 2000. But instead we got a mediocre Republican vs a mediocre Democrat. And unfortunately much worse than mediocre results.

I don’t think that very many people really saw how bad 4 years of Bush could be. I have no idea how the second 4 years happened. Were Americans all playing a drunken prank or something in November 2004? But would it have been all that surprising if 4 or 8 years of Gore had been terrible too? Maybe we would be living in insulated Yurts, burning our own dried feces for heat and reporting the results daily to Energy Czar Ed Begley Jr? So admit it, a Gore administration could have been almost as bad as Bush. Almost.

I will give you credit if you predicted in advance that George W Bush would become, without question and without hyperbole, the Worst President in American History. But really looking back 2000 was an uninspiring choice between two excptionally uninspiring candidates.

I don’t think Stewart is alone. I expect there are 3 or 4 million others who would have thought the same way. Akthough after the McCain eltdown of the past months not many would admit it. Kudos to Jon Stewart for intellectual honesty.

I know that there are some who just expect anyone with a brain to endorse every Democrat but grow up. Just as it is not partisan bias to say that Obama over McCain is the most obvious choice possible in Presidential politics since Franklin Roosevelt vs anyone, or Anyone vs William Jennings Bryan, it is not ‘surprising’ that a smart person would pick an apparently good Republican over an obviously lame Democrat.

Here is something that all people of good conscience, left, right or in between can agree on. Wouldn’t the 2000 Vice Presidential Debate have been better as a match to the death. Whether Cheney or Lieberman went, we would all be the better for it.

Swaying hand in hand “We are the world, We are the children ….”

More on Daily Show
Read the Article at HuffingtonPost

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The intellectual father of Neo-cons picks Obama

This pretty much says it all.

Francis Fukuyama endorses Obama in American Conservative magazine

Why? Oh I believe the really really freaking obvious reasons.

I’m voting for Barack Obama this November for a very simple reason. It is hard to imagine a more disastrous presidency than that of George W. Bush. It was bad enough that he launched an unnecessary war and undermined the standing of the United States throughout the world in his first term. But in the waning days of his administration, he is presiding over a collapse of the American financial system and broader economy that will have consequences for years to come. As a general rule, democracies don’t work well if voters do not hold political parties accountable for failure. While John McCain is trying desperately to pretend that he never had anything to do with the Republican Party, I think it would a travesty to reward the Republicans for failure on such a grand scale.

The American Conservative has been an admirable oasis of intellectual honesty in this campaign. The shameless whore/shills at National Review should be taking notes.

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When you spot the rats jumping, you know the ship has taken on a bit of water.

George Parker writes in the New Yorker that Republican stalwart Ken Adelman is supporting Obama.

To me he will always be the Reagan arms control guy with the Arnold Horshack hair who put the screws on the Russians with SDI and medium range missiles, but he has had roles in every GOP administration going back to Nixon.

The man who introduced Cheney to Wolfowitz. How is that for an episode of The Dating Game From Hell.

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117-111 Obama

I am a huge if improbable fan of the sport of boxing. I say that because I kinda believe that a sport based on two men try to hit each other so hard that their brains rattle into unconsciousness ought to be banned, but as long as it is legal I will enjoy it.

I also score fights as I watch them. Boxing is scored round by round and often the subjective impression is not reflected in the scores. You can win a few rounds convincingly but lose more rounds narrowly and lose the fight.

Obviously a debate is a lot more subjective. but i think if this were a 12 round championship fight the scores would be something like 117-111 for Obama. A convincing and clear win. Not a blowout, not a knockout, but a clear and dominant win. There were four or five decent sound bites for Obama (Iraq, Spain etc) and none for McCain. I think you would be hard pressed to describe this as an ass kicking victory for either.

But I cannot see how anyone could think that McCain won, except the true believers. Although it is sick to hear the pundits who just hope for the horse race to continue pumping the McCain performance.

Which is why i am kind of disappointed in ABC’s Jake Tapper who seemed to note the few lame McCain successes without noting the many more Obama hits

Jake, the you like Mccain “seal” sideshow without noting the Obama “spain” hit to which it was a lame – and canned – retort.

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Something we can all agree on

A reason to elect Barack Obama that even the drill-baby-drill happiest Republican can embrace.

If Obama wins maybe there will not be any more of those Barbra Streisand benefits where she sings “amusing” versions of Sondheim ditties substituting the lyric “clowns” with “Republicans”.

brrrrrrrrr

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